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MOD 01MESIN DATA & ANALITIK
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R. PrasetyoLEAD ANALYST
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INTELLIGENCE / TOPICS & ISSUES SCR-06

TOPICS & ISSUES

Issue Landscape & Narrative Evolution
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WINDOW:
SOURCES: ALL NEWS X INSTAGRAM TIKTOK FACEBOOK YOUTUBE
STATUS: ALL EMERGING ACTIVE ESCALATING STABLE DECLINING
SENTIMENT: ALL POS NEU NEG
ACTIVE ISSUES
MODEL CLASSIFICATION
24 +3 from 7d avg
Currently monitored clusters TEL-01
EMERGING ISSUES
EARLY PATTERN
7 48h onset velocity
New activity detected VEL-02
ESCALATING ISSUES
REVIEW REQUIRED
4 > 100% 24h baseline
Non-alarmist analytical status ALERT-E04
DECLINING ISSUES
FADING FREQUENCY
12 -48% 7d decay
Activity steadily decreasing DEC-12
ISSUE LANDSCAPE MODEL-ASSISTED ISSUE CLUSTERING
VIEW: 2D MULTIVARIATE
AXIS: X = Velocity (0 → +250%) | Y = Cross-Platform Spread (1 → 5) BUBBLE SIZE = Total Content Volume
5 PL 4 PL 3 PL 2 PL 0% +50% +100% +180% +250% Education Funding (31.8K) Public Transport (42.1K) Budget Bill (68.3K) Fuel Price (84.2K) Food Inflation (74.9K) Subsidy Realignment (96.5K) 128.4K ⚡ Tariff Increase (+184%)
Energy Economy Policy Social Politics
CLICK NODE TO FOCUS DOSSIER
ISSUE VELOCITY HISTORICAL TELEMETRY
NO FORECAST DISPLAYED
VOLUME DENSITY: Content items/hour (Observed 28 Sep - 07 Oct) PEAK ACCELERATION DETECTED
15K/h 10K/h 5K/h 0 02 OCT · SPIKE 04 OCT · VOLUME 05 OCT · MULTI-PL 07 OCT 06:42 · PEAK (12.4K/h) 28 SEP 30 SEP 02 OCT 04 OCT 06 OCT 07 OCT
TOTAL RETRIEVED: 128.4K MOVING AVG (7D): 3.4K/h
SOURCE: TIME-SERIES TELEMETRY PIPELINE
ISSUE REGISTER 24 TRACKED ISSUES
SORT: BY VELOCITY DESC
ISSUE NAME CATEGORY VOLUME VELOCITY SENTIMENT RATIO PLATFORMS REGION STATUS LAST ACTIVITY ACTION
Electricity Tariff Increase ENERGY 128.4K +184%
61% NEG
X · IG · TikTok · News · YT National ESCALATING 07 Oct 06:42
Fuel Price Adjustment ECONOMY 84.2K +76%
54% NEG
X · FB · YouTube National ACTIVE 07 Oct 05:31
Food Price Inflation ECONOMY 74.9K +62%
58% NEG
X · IG · News Regional (Jawa) ACTIVE 07 Oct 04:15
Energy Subsidy Realignment ENERGY 96.5K +112%
59% NEG
News · X · TikTok National ESCALATING 07 Oct 03:50
Government Budget Bill POLITICS 68.3K +15%
48% NEU
News · X National STABLE 07 Oct 01:20
Education Funding POLICY 31.8K -24%
49% NEU
News · X · FB National DECLINING 06 Oct 22:18
Public Transport Fare SOCIAL 42.1K +8%
44% NEG
X · IG · TikTok Regional (DKI) STABLE 06 Oct 20:05

ELECTRICITY TARIFF INCREASE

ISSUE-2041 ESCALATING
CATEGORY: ENERGY • FIRST OBSERVED: 02 OCT 2026 09:15 • LAST ACTIVITY: 07 OCT 2026 06:42 • VOLUME: 128.4K • ACCOUNTS: 8,421 • SOURCES: 312 • PLATFORMS: 5
ISSUE DEVELOPMENT OBSERVED ACTIVITY
CHRONOLOGICAL TRACE
02 OCT 09:15
Initial mentions detected in energy policy forum & discussion threads on platform X.
03 OCT 11:30
Mainstream online news coverage begins reporting ministry review draft on tariff restructuring.
04 OCT 14:20
Social discussion volume increases sharply across commentary accounts; negative sentiment ratio spikes.
05 OCT 09:40
Multiple verified civic and consumer watch accounts observed publishing impact calculations.
06 OCT 17:15
Cross-platform acceleration into short video formats (TikTok/YouTube) with household billing comparisons.
07 OCT 06:42
Activity reaches current observed peak (12.4K mentions/hr); multi-platform propagation active.
NARRATIVE EVOLUTION MODEL-ASSISTED CLUSTERING
6-DAY WINDOW

Observed semantic sequence over chronological span.

01
Policy Announcement
02 Oct – 04 Oct · 14.2K vol
NEU 54%
02
Cost Impact & Calculation
03 Oct – 05 Oct · 28.6K vol
NEG 58%
03
Public Burden Discontent
04 Oct – 07 Oct · 46.1K vol
NEG 68%
04
Government Clarification
05 Oct – 07 Oct · 21.4K vol
NEU 42%
05
Industry & MSME Impact
06 Oct – 07 Oct · 11.8K vol
NEG 52%
06
Parliamentary Commentary
07 Oct – Present · 6.3K vol
NEG 64%
Governance Note: Observed narrative clusters reflect statistical semantic groupings; does not imply intentional coordination.
TOPIC COMPOSITION MODEL-ASSISTED
Energy Policy 32%
Electricity Pricing 24%
Government Policy 18%
Household Cost 14%
Industry Impact 7%
Other Peripheral 5%
RELATED ISSUES SEMANTIC RELATION
Fuel Price Adjustment 82% SIMILARITY
Energy Subsidy 76% SIMILARITY
Household Cost Pressure 71% SIMILARITY
Government Budget 64% SIMILARITY

Semantic similarity does not establish common origin.

SENTIMENT & EMOTION MODEL ESTIMATE
SENTIMENT SPREAD POS 12% · NEU 27% · NEG 61%
EMOTION ESTIMATES
Concern 28%
Anger / Frustration 24%
Fear / Uncertainty 17%
Neutral Inquiry 15%

Classifications are statistical model estimates and should not be interpreted as psychological certainty.

ACTOR SENTIMENT COMPARISON CROSS-SECTOR
Government Accounts 58% NEG DISCUSS
Negative 58% · Neutral 34% · Positive 8%
Media Outlets 46% NEU
Neutral 46% · Negative 38% · Positive 16%
Public Accounts 63% NEG
Negative 63% · Neutral 24% · Positive 13%
KEY ACTORS OBSERVED VOLUME
Government (ESDM, DEN) 24.1K vol
Neg 58% · First: 02 Oct · Last: 07 Oct
Media (Portal Berita) 38.6K vol
Neut 46% · First: 02 Oct · Last: 07 Oct
Civil Society / Watch 19.4K vol
Neg 66% · First: 03 Oct · Last: 07 Oct
TOP ACCOUNTS ACTIVITY RANK
@suara_rakyat_ind
18.4K mentions · +184%
@media_nasional
12.8K mentions · +82%
@politik_hari_ini
9.4K mentions · +61%

Observed volume ranking. Does not imply causal influence.

PLATFORM SEQUENCE NON-CAUSAL
Online News 02 Oct 09:15 · Peak: 04 Oct
ACTIVE
X (Twitter) 02 Oct 09:44 · Peak: 07 Oct
ESCALATING
Instagram 03 Oct 13:40 · Peak: 06 Oct
ACTIVE
TikTok 04 Oct 11:15 · Peak: 07 Oct
ESCALATING

Temporal ordering does not establish causality.

SOURCE SHARE 312 SOURCES
Online News 38%
Platform X 27%
Facebook 14%
Instagram 11%
TikTok / Video 10%
CHANNELS: TEXT (65%) · VIDEO (21%) · AUDIO (14%)
GEOGRAPHIC DENSITY INDONESIA
DKI Jakarta
41.2K posts
Jawa Barat
32.8K posts
Jawa Timur
24.1K posts
Jawa Tengah
16.4K posts
Sumatera Utara
8.2K posts

Reflects observed post geotags & regional mentions. Does not signify risk hotspot.

RECENT CONTENT EVIDENCE SAMPLE ITEMS
06:42 WIB • Media Nasional • X
VIEW IN SCR 04 ↗

"Pemerintah kaji ulang penyesuaian tarif listrik subsidi untuk segmen non-prioritas mulai triwulan IV..."

NEG 8.4K Reach
06:21 WIB • Suara Rakyat • Instagram
VIEW IN SCR 04 ↗

"Infografik: Dampak kenaikan tarif listrik ke pos pengeluaran bulanan keluarga pekerja kelas menengah..."

NEG 5.1K Reach
05:40 WIB • Info Warga JKT • TikTok
VIEW IN SCR 04 ↗

"Penjelasan simulasi tagihan listrik per bulan untuk daya 900VA dan 1300VA..."

NEU 14.8K Views
RELATED SIGNALS MODULE 03 PIPELINE
SIGNAL-0481 94.6% CONF
Issue velocity anomaly — HIGH RATE
INVESTIGATE (SCR 03) ↗
SIGNAL-0492 81.2% CONF
Cross-platform activity spike — MEDIUM
INVESTIGATE (SCR 03) ↗
Direct bidirectional links into early anomaly detectors and accounts. LINK STATE ACTIVE
OBSERVED [FAKTA TERUKUR]

Issue volume increased 184% over 7-day baseline across 5 platforms with 128.4K posts.

MODEL INTERPRETATION [INFERENSI]

The issue shows significant activity acceleration across multiple observed sources and dominant negative sentiment.

UNCERTAINTY [BATAS KEJELASAN DATA]

The observed increase does not establish why activity increased or whether underlying actors are coordinated.

ANALYST ASSESSMENT WORKSPACE UNDER REVIEW
CONFIDENCE LEVEL:
LOGGED USER: R. PRASETYO (LEAD ANALYST)
AUDIT TRAIL & ANALYSIS LOG 5 EVENTS RECORDED TODAY
07 Oct 2026 06:48 Issue metrics refreshed
07 Oct 2026 06:43 Narrative clusters recalculated
07 Oct 2026 06:40 1,284 new content items ingested
07 Oct 2026 06:31 Issue classification updated
06 Oct 2026 23:12 Analyst opened issue
FRESHNESS: < 2m • MODEL VERSION: v2.8-multi • CLUSTER DRIFT: STABLE (0.04)
TELEMETRY SHA256: 8f9e2b1c4a01...99d2